TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessandro Maina and Alexey Dubinin in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Maina' if Alessandro Maina advances against Alexey Dubinin. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Alessandro Maina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessandro Maina and Alexey Dubinin in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Maina' if Alessandro Maina advances against Alexey Dubinin. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Alessandro Maina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in response to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Maina vs Dubinin match. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Maina vs Dubinin match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement. It's important to note that the market will close prior to the official result being announced to allow for accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings for Alessandro Maina or Alexey Dubinin could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as large trades within this market on Polymarket, could all serve as catalysts for price movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves.