TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 12:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adan Freire Da Silva and Kris van Wyk in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adan Freire Da Silva' if Adan Freire Da Silva advances against Kris van Wyk. This market will resolve to 'Kris van Wyk' if Kris van Wyk advances against Adan Freire Da Silva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adan Freire Da Silva and Kris van Wyk in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adan Freire Da Silva' if Adan Freire Da Silva advances against Kris van Wyk. This market will resolve to 'Kris van Wyk' if Kris van Wyk advances against Adan Freire Da Silva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the event, they can trade on Polymarket to capitalize on the discrepancy. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information or differing viewpoints, potentially offering a more accurate forecast.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability goes up. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand; there are no intermediaries setting prices. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Adan Freire Da Silva vs. Kris van Wyk tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player might also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself – such as a dominant early performance by one player – could cause rapid price movements on Polymarket. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and any significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also serve as catalysts for shifts in the market.