TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Lynch and Valentin De Carvalho in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Lynch' if Adam Lynch advances against Valentin De Carvalho. This market will resolve to 'Valentin De Carvalho' if Valentin De Carvalho advances against Adam Lynch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Lynch and Valentin De Carvalho in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Lynch' if Adam Lynch advances against Valentin De Carvalho. This market will resolve to 'Valentin De Carvalho' if Valentin De Carvalho advances against Adam Lynch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving collective assessment of the match’s likely result, driven by new information and changing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Adam Lynch and Valentin De Carvalho as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is finalized and confirmed on Polymarket. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Adam Lynch or Valentin De Carvalho, or changes in playing conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also contribute to price movements. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed individuals could also cause noticeable shifts in the market’s pricing as we approach Oct 18, 2026.