TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Lynch and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Lynch' if Adam Lynch advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Adam Lynch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Lynch and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Lynch' if Adam Lynch advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Adam Lynch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and participant incentives. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating expectations about future events, while sportsbook odds are static at the time of the bet.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Adam Lynch versus Kylian Collignon tennis match in Monastir. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor official tournament results and news sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event’s progress and potential impact on the market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected match delays could influence trader sentiment. Performance in preceding matches, head-to-head records, and expert analysis of player form are also likely to impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also shift attention and capital towards this market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause price fluctuations.