TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Lynch and Daniil Bogatov in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Lynch' if Adam Lynch advances against Daniil Bogatov. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Bogatov' if Daniil Bogatov advances against Adam Lynch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Lynch and Daniil Bogatov in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Lynch' if Adam Lynch advances against Daniil Bogatov. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Bogatov' if Daniil Bogatov advances against Adam Lynch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market for the M15 Monastir match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Adam Lynch and Daniil Bogatov, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could cause significant shifts in sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also impact trading activity. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily move the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more traders weigh in. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements.