TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Lynch and Ahmed Darmoul in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Lynch' if Adam Lynch advances against Ahmed Darmoul. This market will resolve to 'Ahmed Darmoul' if Ahmed Darmoul advances against Adam Lynch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Lynch and Ahmed Darmoul in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Lynch' if Adam Lynch advances against Ahmed Darmoul. This market will resolve to 'Ahmed Darmoul' if Ahmed Darmoul advances against Adam Lynch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the market’s consensus probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of each outcome, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the event's result. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust as new information becomes available, offering a real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also shift sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market expectations. Public commentary from tennis analysts or experts could also contribute to shifts in the market, as traders react to their insights and predictions.