TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Quesada Perez and Rafael Candelas Ruiz in the M15 Mazatlan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Quesada Perez' if Tomas Quesada Perez advances against Rafael Candelas Ruiz. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Candelas Ruiz' if Rafael Candelas Ruiz advances against Tomas Quesada Perez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Quesada Perez and Rafael Candelas Ruiz in the M15 Mazatlan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Quesada Perez' if Tomas Quesada Perez advances against Rafael Candelas Ruiz. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Candelas Ruiz' if Rafael Candelas Ruiz advances against Tomas Quesada Perez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a player is more likely to win than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly deviates from the initial sportsbook assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand among traders on the platform, and it’s a dynamic indicator of collective expectations for the Mazatlan tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tomas Quesada Perez vs Rafael Candelas Ruiz tennis match in Mazatlan. The player who wins the match, according to official tournament records, will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and authoritative sources for tennis results.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or even updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about a player’s strategy or coaching changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, any significant betting activity observed on traditional sportsbooks could also influence traders on Polymarket, as they attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings or discrepancies.