TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastien Cudny and Alex Galstyan in the M15 Mazatlan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastien Cudny' if Sebastien Cudny advances against Alex Galstyan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Galstyan' if Alex Galstyan advances against Sebastien Cudny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastien Cudny and Alex Galstyan in the M15 Mazatlan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastien Cudny' if Sebastien Cudny advances against Alex Galstyan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Galstyan' if Alex Galstyan advances against Sebastien Cudny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregate forecast of its users regarding the Cudny vs Galstyan match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Mazatlan fight between Sebastien Cudny and Alex Galstyan, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The winner of the match, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any official decision, including a technical knockout or disqualification, will be considered in determining the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or health status would likely have a significant impact. Additionally, any analysis from boxing experts or changes in public perception of each fighter’s chances could drive trading activity and alter the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either Cudny or Galstyan winning could move this market.