TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Alujas and Tarun Karra in the M15 Mazatlan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Alujas' if Rodrigo Alujas advances against Tarun Karra. This market will resolve to 'Tarun Karra' if Tarun Karra advances against Rodrigo Alujas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Alujas and Tarun Karra in the M15 Mazatlan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Alujas' if Rodrigo Alujas advances against Tarun Karra. This market will resolve to 'Tarun Karra' if Tarun Karra advances against Rodrigo Alujas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set lines based on statistical models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in analytical approaches. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially when new developments occur that aren't yet fully priced in by traditional oddsmakers. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into market sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mazatlan tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mazatlan tennis match between Rodrigo Alujas and Tarun Karra. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. This ensures a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, although the market is primarily driven by informed trading. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match could shift expectations and alter the price of shares in this market.