TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ricardo Reyna and Rafael Candelas Ruiz in the M15 Mazatlan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ricardo Reyna' if Ricardo Reyna advances against Rafael Candelas Ruiz. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Candelas Ruiz' if Rafael Candelas Ruiz advances against Ricardo Reyna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ricardo Reyna and Rafael Candelas Ruiz in the M15 Mazatlan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ricardo Reyna' if Ricardo Reyna advances against Rafael Candelas Ruiz. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Candelas Ruiz' if Rafael Candelas Ruiz advances against Ricardo Reyna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Reyna vs Ruiz match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Reyna vs Ruiz match as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of Ricardo Reyna or Rafael Candelas Ruiz, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in publicly available analysis of their fighting styles or recent performance could also shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the fight’s venue or scheduling, or even broader trends in boxing viewership, could also move the market as traders adjust their expectations for the Reyna vs Ruiz match.