TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael De Alba and LUCCA LIU in the M15 Mazatlan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael De Alba' if Rafael De Alba advances against LUCCA LIU. This market will resolve to 'LUCCA LIU' if LUCCA LIU advances against Rafael De Alba. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael De Alba and LUCCA LIU in the M15 Mazatlan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael De Alba' if Rafael De Alba advances against LUCCA LIU. This market will resolve to 'LUCCA LIU' if LUCCA LIU advances against Rafael De Alba. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Mazatlan tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mazatlan tennis match between Rafael De Alba and LUCCA LIU, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, potentially leading to price adjustments. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements.