TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jesus Martinez Miranda and Antoine Voisin in the M15 Mazatlan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesus Martinez Miranda' if Jesus Martinez Miranda advances against Antoine Voisin. This market will resolve to 'Antoine Voisin' if Antoine Voisin advances against Jesus Martinez Miranda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jesus Martinez Miranda and Antoine Voisin in the M15 Mazatlan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesus Martinez Miranda' if Jesus Martinez Miranda advances against Antoine Voisin. This market will resolve to 'Antoine Voisin' if Antoine Voisin advances against Jesus Martinez Miranda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those seen at sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with no central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Jesus Martinez Miranda and Antoine Voisin, as declared by the relevant boxing commission or governing body. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner of the match, and the outcome will be based on the official record of the event. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered during the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Nov 2, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also attract attention and impact trading volume. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or strategic approaches could lead to adjustments in the implied probabilities. Public opinion and analysis from boxing experts could also play a role in driving price movements as the fight approaches.