TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Frazier Rengifo and Carlo Arena Fava in the M15 Mazatlan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frazier Rengifo' if Frazier Rengifo advances against Carlo Arena Fava. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Arena Fava' if Carlo Arena Fava advances against Frazier Rengifo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frazier Rengifo and Carlo Arena Fava in the M15 Mazatlan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frazier Rengifo' if Frazier Rengifo advances against Carlo Arena Fava. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Arena Fava' if Carlo Arena Fava advances against Frazier Rengifo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome of the Frazier Rengifo vs Arena Fava match. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and change based on trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Frazier Rengifo vs Arena Fava match. The price of a share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Frazier Rengifo vs Arena Fava match, as determined by the relevant boxing authorities. This includes verifying the winner of the bout, and the market will settle to 100% for the winning fighter. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the result to understand when this market will be finalized.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Frazier Rengifo or Carlo Arena Fava would likely cause shifts in the odds. Public statements from trainers or analysts offering strong opinions on the fighters' chances could also influence trading activity. Unexpected changes in the fight's location or rules, or even significant betting activity on traditional sportsbooks, could all contribute to price movement in this market. Monitoring boxing news and social media will be crucial.