TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vitor Leal and Gabriel Batagin in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vitor Leal' if Vitor Leal advances against Gabriel Batagin. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Batagin' if Gabriel Batagin advances against Vitor Leal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vitor Leal and Gabriel Batagin in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vitor Leal' if Vitor Leal advances against Gabriel Batagin. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Batagin' if Gabriel Batagin advances against Vitor Leal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of each outcome in the Vitor Leal vs Gabriel Batagin match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Vitor Leal vs Gabriel Batagin match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome. The resolution process ensures transparency and accuracy in determining the final settlement of this market, providing clarity for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match scheduling, or updated performance statistics for either Vitor Leal or Gabriel Batagin could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the match conditions or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in overall market sentiment could trigger price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 18, 2026.