TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor Braga and Joaquin Bianchi in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor Braga' if Victor Braga advances against Joaquin Bianchi. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Bianchi' if Joaquin Bianchi advances against Victor Braga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor Braga and Joaquin Bianchi in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor Braga' if Victor Braga advances against Joaquin Bianchi. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Bianchi' if Joaquin Bianchi advances against Victor Braga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changes in sentiment, making it a real-time indicator of expectations for the Braga vs Bianchi match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maringa match between Victor Braga and Joaquin Bianchi, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or tactical adjustments announced by either player could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the M15 Maringa tournament, could also impact trading activity. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in the likely outcome could also lead to shifts in the market price. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning has the potential to move this market.