TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Horacio Messa and Guilherme Barbieri Renner in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Horacio Messa' if Thiago Horacio Messa advances against Guilherme Barbieri Renner. This market will resolve to 'Guilherme Barbieri Renner' if Guilherme Barbieri Renner advances against Thiago Horacio Messa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Horacio Messa and Guilherme Barbieri Renner in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Horacio Messa' if Thiago Horacio Messa advances against Guilherme Barbieri Renner. This market will resolve to 'Guilherme Barbieri Renner' if Guilherme Barbieri Renner advances against Thiago Horacio Messa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers, determining which fighter won the Messa vs Renner fight. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift market sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight predictions could all contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their beliefs about the likely outcome.