TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between SANTIAGO PESINO and Ian Vertberger in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'SANTIAGO PESINO' if SANTIAGO PESINO advances against Ian Vertberger. This market will resolve to 'Ian Vertberger' if Ian Vertberger advances against SANTIAGO PESINO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between SANTIAGO PESINO and Ian Vertberger in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'SANTIAGO PESINO' if SANTIAGO PESINO advances against Ian Vertberger. This market will resolve to 'Ian Vertberger' if Ian Vertberger advances against SANTIAGO PESINO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome will happen, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maringa match between Santiago Pesino and Ian Vertberger, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and fair settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions impacting the match could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter strategies or pre-match interviews revealing confidence levels could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, any substantial betting activity observed in traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders on Polymarket to reassess their positions, causing fluctuations in the market.