TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Augusto dos Santos and Mateo Carballo in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Augusto dos Santos' if Ryan Augusto dos Santos advances against Mateo Carballo. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Carballo' if Mateo Carballo advances against Ryan Augusto dos Santos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryan Augusto dos Santos and Mateo Carballo in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Augusto dos Santos' if Ryan Augusto dos Santos advances against Mateo Carballo. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Carballo' if Mateo Carballo advances against Ryan Augusto dos Santos. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market's collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely winner of the M15 Maringa tennis match. The current price indicates the market’s aggregated forecast for the event.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maringa tennis match between Ryan Augusto dos Santos and Mateo Carballo, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on the players’ recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also contribute to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility and shift the overall prediction. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts.