TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Tosetto and Ignacio Monzon in the M15 Maringa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Tosetto' if Rafael Tosetto advances against Ignacio Monzon. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Rafael Tosetto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Tosetto and Ignacio Monzon in the M15 Maringa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Tosetto' if Rafael Tosetto advances against Ignacio Monzon. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Monzon' if Ignacio Monzon advances against Rafael Tosetto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tosetto vs Monzon match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tosetto vs Monzon match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be evaluated based on available evidence and established procedures. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is officially determined.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert predictions could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Tosetto vs Monzon match could also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants or strategic positions taken by influential traders could trigger price movements and reshape the market's outlook.