TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 7:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Sakamoto and Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich in the M15 Maringa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich' if Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich advances against Pedro Sakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Sakamoto and Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich in the M15 Maringa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich' if Pedro Albuquerque Dietrich advances against Pedro Sakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently or has access to unique insights. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, with traders setting the odds based on their own analysis and information.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sakamoto vs Dietrich fight, as determined by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters' training, injuries, or changes in their fight strategy could shift sentiment. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis from boxing commentators, could also impact the market. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes to the venue or rules, could also cause significant price movement. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning will likely affect the market.