TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity and Rafael Tosetto in the M15 Maringa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity' if Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity advances against Rafael Tosetto. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Tosetto' if Rafael Tosetto advances against Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity and Rafael Tosetto in the M15 Maringa, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity' if Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity advances against Rafael Tosetto. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Tosetto' if Rafael Tosetto advances against Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a margin for profit and may be influenced by promotional considerations, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate a perceived mispricing or differing information available to each group. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on available data and analysis, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Chabalgoity vs Tosetto match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chabalgoity vs Tosetto match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact perceptions of each fighter's chances. Unexpected announcements about fighter preparation or performance during training could also move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or analysis from respected sports commentators could sway trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market before Oct 23, 2026.