TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava and Yuki Ikeda in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava' if Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava advances against Yuki Ikeda. This market will resolve to 'Yuki Ikeda' if Yuki Ikeda advances against Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava and Yuki Ikeda in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava' if Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava advances against Yuki Ikeda. This market will resolve to 'Yuki Ikeda' if Yuki Ikeda advances against Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of everyone trading in this market for the M15 Maringa tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maringa tennis match between Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava and Yuki Ikeda, as published by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly based on the final result. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions for the M15 Maringa tennis match. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also cause traders to reassess their positions. Major upsets or surprising performances during the tournament would likely lead to substantial movement in the market as traders react to new information.