TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Barbiero and Lucas Zancheta in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Barbiero' if Andrey Barbiero advances against Lucas Zancheta. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Zancheta' if Lucas Zancheta advances against Andrey Barbiero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Barbiero and Lucas Zancheta in the M15 Maringa, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Barbiero' if Andrey Barbiero advances against Lucas Zancheta. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Zancheta' if Lucas Zancheta advances against Andrey Barbiero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Barbiero vs Zancheta match. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the various possibilities.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maringa fight between Andrey Barbiero and Lucas Zancheta, as declared by the relevant governing body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimes, or even pre-fight interviews revealing strategic insights could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule modifications could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, public analysis from MMA experts and shifts in betting lines at traditional sportsbooks might also influence traders’ decisions, leading to fluctuations in the probabilities reflected in this market.