TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Garay and Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava in the M15 Maceio, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Garay' if Valentin Garay advances against Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava. This market will resolve to 'Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava' if Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava advances against Valentin Garay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Garay and Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava in the M15 Maceio, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Garay' if Valentin Garay advances against Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava. This market will resolve to 'Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava' if Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava advances against Valentin Garay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Comparing the odds can provide valuable insights, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maceio match between Valentin Garay and Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava. Any official announcements or results from recognized sports authorities will be used to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to the match could shift trader sentiment. Significant betting activity from informed traders could also cause price movements. Additionally, broader trends in the players' performance or changes in public perception could all play a role in how this market evolves leading up to the event's conclusion.