TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 3:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Tosetto and Tomas Farjat in the M15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Tosetto' if Rafael Tosetto advances against Tomas Farjat. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Rafael Tosetto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Tosetto and Tomas Farjat in the M15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Tosetto' if Rafael Tosetto advances against Tomas Farjat. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Rafael Tosetto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that differs from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can trade on Polymarket to capitalize on the discrepancy. This can lead to odds on Polymarket being more accurate, or at least representing a different set of assumptions than those built into sportsbook lines. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maceio match between Rafael Tosetto and Tomas Farjat. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine which outcome resolves positively. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout of 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive 0 USDC. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or recent performance could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions in Maceio, if they affect playing conditions, could also be a factor. Additionally, significant betting activity on sportsbooks could draw attention to potential mispricings, prompting traders on Polymarket to adjust their positions. Finally, late-breaking analysis from tennis experts or changes in player rankings might also contribute to movement in this market before Oct 28, 2026.