TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 5:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity and Dante Pagani in the M15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity' if Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity advances against Dante Pagani. This market will resolve to 'Dante Pagani' if Dante Pagani advances against Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity and Dante Pagani in the M15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity' if Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity advances against Dante Pagani. This market will resolve to 'Dante Pagani' if Dante Pagani advances against Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own analysis and aim to balance their risk, while this market relies on the collective predictions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as the price adjusts with each trade.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maceio tennis match between Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity and Dante Pagani, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can cause significant price movements, especially with the current relatively low volume. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.