TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Bruna and Tomas Farjat in the M15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Bruna' if Nicolas Bruna advances against Tomas Farjat. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Nicolas Bruna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Bruna and Tomas Farjat in the M15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Bruna' if Nicolas Bruna advances against Tomas Farjat. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Nicolas Bruna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers, potentially identifying undervalued or overvalued outcomes in the M15 Maceio match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M15 Maceio match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nicolas Bruna vs Tomas Farjat match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Nicolas Bruna or Tomas Farjat could significantly shift predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the M15 Maceio tournament, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting their informed opinions on the match’s likely outcome.