TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateus Nogueira and Victor Pagotto in the M15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Nogueira' if Mateus Nogueira advances against Victor Pagotto. This market will resolve to 'Victor Pagotto' if Victor Pagotto advances against Mateus Nogueira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateus Nogueira and Victor Pagotto in the M15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Nogueira' if Mateus Nogueira advances against Victor Pagotto. This market will resolve to 'Victor Pagotto' if Victor Pagotto advances against Mateus Nogueira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the result. While sportsbook odds may initially differ, they often converge with prediction market probabilities as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to varying levels of information access and differing analytical approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the tennis match between Mateus Nogueira and Victor Pagotto in Maceio. The platform will rely on established sports data sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders will be able to view the resolution details and confirm the outcome on Polymarket following the completion of the match and official result confirmation.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.