TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Enzo Lima and Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha in the M15 Maceio, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Lima' if Enzo Lima advances against Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha. This market will resolve to 'Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha' if Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha advances against Enzo Lima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Enzo Lima and Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha in the M15 Maceio, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Lima' if Enzo Lima advances against Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha. This market will resolve to 'Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha' if Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha advances against Enzo Lima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently or has access to unique insights regarding the M15 Maceio match. This difference can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M15 Maceio match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more sensitive the price will be to new information and trading activity. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, offering a real-time assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maceio match between Enzo Lima and Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be settled accordingly. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 25, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed betting activity and cause noticeable price movements in the M15 Maceio match market.