TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 2:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dante Pagani and Pedro Sakamoto in the M15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dante Pagani' if Dante Pagani advances against Pedro Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Dante Pagani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dante Pagani and Pedro Sakamoto in the M15 Maceio, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dante Pagani' if Dante Pagani advances against Pedro Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Sakamoto' if Pedro Sakamoto advances against Dante Pagani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market's odds are driven by the collective predictions of traders. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can reveal interesting insights into where the market and bookmakers disagree about the likely outcome of the M15 Maceio match. Keep in mind that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different incentives and user bases, which can influence their odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M15 Maceio match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's efficiency depends on active trading and the incorporation of new information by participants. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the different possible results.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maceio match between Dante Pagani and Pedro Sakamoto. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to the resolution date to stay informed.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match, could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements and making informed trading decisions regarding the M15 Maceio match.