TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuan Cheng Yang and Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuan Cheng Yang' if Yuan Cheng Yang advances against Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko. This market will resolve to 'Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko' if Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko advances against Yuan Cheng Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuan Cheng Yang and Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuan Cheng Yang' if Yuan Cheng Yang advances against Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko. This market will resolve to 'Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko' if Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko advances against Yuan Cheng Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome—a win for Yuan Cheng Yang or Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko—are bought and sold. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular fighter, the price increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the fight's potential result.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Maanshan event. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision, knockout, or technical knockout will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be resolved based on the commission's final ruling.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fighters’ physical condition or strategic approaches would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, any updates from reputable boxing analysts or changes in public perception of each fighter’s chances could also drive trading volume and alter the implied probabilities in this market.