TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xing Dao Chen and Haolong He in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against Haolong He. This market will resolve to 'Haolong He' if Haolong He advances against Xing Dao Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xing Dao Chen and Haolong He in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xing Dao Chen' if Xing Dao Chen advances against Haolong He. This market will resolve to 'Haolong He' if Haolong He advances against Xing Dao Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s prices are determined by supply and demand. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Analyzing the difference between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook lines can reveal insights into public perception and potential value, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same underlying event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The higher the demand for a particular outcome, the higher its share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan Xing Dao Chen vs Haolong He match, as reported by the governing sporting body. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either Xing Dao Chen or Haolong He, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, fueled by expert analysis or social media discussion, can impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.