TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xin Zhou and Siwei Dai in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xin Zhou' if Xin Zhou advances against Siwei Dai. This market will resolve to 'Siwei Dai' if Siwei Dai advances against Xin Zhou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xin Zhou and Siwei Dai in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xin Zhou' if Xin Zhou advances against Siwei Dai. This market will resolve to 'Siwei Dai' if Siwei Dai advances against Xin Zhou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Xin Zhou vs Siwei Dai match, as reported by the governing body of the M15 Maanshan tournament. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to the M15 Maanshan tournament could significantly impact trader sentiment. Strong performances by either Xin Zhou or Siwei Dai in preceding matches, or shifts in expert analysis, could also drive price movements. Unexpected upsets in other related matches might also influence how traders assess the probabilities, leading to adjustments in the market’s pricing.