TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Toshiki Karigyo and Shao Zhang in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toshiki Karigyo' if Toshiki Karigyo advances against Shao Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Shao Zhang' if Shao Zhang advances against Toshiki Karigyo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Toshiki Karigyo and Shao Zhang in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toshiki Karigyo' if Toshiki Karigyo advances against Shao Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Shao Zhang' if Shao Zhang advances against Toshiki Karigyo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by traders reacting to developments. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maanshan fight between Toshiki Karigyo and Shao Zhang, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 9, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt adjustments in this market. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning is likely to cause price movements. Monitoring fight-related news and analyzing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts.