TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng and Hengyu Lu in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Hengyu Lu. This market will resolve to 'Hengyu Lu' if Hengyu Lu advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng and Hengyu Lu in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng' if Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng advances against Hengyu Lu. This market will resolve to 'Hengyu Lu' if Hengyu Lu advances against Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd perceives information differently or has access to unique insights. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and it adjusts dynamically as new information becomes available. This allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng and Hengyu Lu. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.