TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shao Zhang and Daixiliang Yaoyao in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shao Zhang' if Shao Zhang advances against Daixiliang Yaoyao. This market will resolve to 'Daixiliang Yaoyao' if Daixiliang Yaoyao advances against Shao Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shao Zhang and Daixiliang Yaoyao in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shao Zhang' if Shao Zhang advances against Daixiliang Yaoyao. This market will resolve to 'Daixiliang Yaoyao' if Daixiliang Yaoyao advances against Shao Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds adjust based on demand.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan Shao Zhang vs Daixiliang Yaoyao match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected upsets in related matches or broader tournament dynamics could also impact trader behavior. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.