TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lin Hao-Yu and Hanzhe Wang in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lin Hao-Yu' if Lin Hao-Yu advances against Hanzhe Wang. This market will resolve to 'Hanzhe Wang' if Hanzhe Wang advances against Lin Hao-Yu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lin Hao-Yu and Hanzhe Wang in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lin Hao-Yu' if Lin Hao-Yu advances against Hanzhe Wang. This market will resolve to 'Hanzhe Wang' if Hanzhe Wang advances against Lin Hao-Yu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined values.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lin Hao-Yu vs Hanzhe Wang match, as reported by the governing body of the M15 Maanshan tournament. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the winner of the match according to official tournament results, and this will be the basis for settling all outstanding shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity from well-informed traders or large volume purchases could signal a change in expectations and cause the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is evolving.