TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuki Nakajima and Yue Xia in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Nakajima' if Kazuki Nakajima advances against Yue Xia. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Kazuki Nakajima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuki Nakajima and Yue Xia in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Nakajima' if Kazuki Nakajima advances against Yue Xia. This market will resolve to 'Yue Xia' if Yue Xia advances against Kazuki Nakajima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the supply and demand for shares, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Nakajima vs Xia match. This allows for a fluid adjustment of probabilities based on collective insight.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maanshan match between Kazuki Nakajima and Yue Xia. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and reliable sources to determine the winning competitor. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the condition of either Kazuki Nakajima or Yue Xia, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of their success. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, or any strategic announcements about their approach to this specific match, could also drive movement. Unexpected developments related to the event itself, such as venue changes or rule adjustments, could also play a role.