TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiaqi Gu and Lingxi Zhao in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Gu' if Jiaqi Gu advances against Lingxi Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Lingxi Zhao' if Lingxi Zhao advances against Jiaqi Gu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiaqi Gu and Lingxi Zhao in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Gu' if Jiaqi Gu advances against Lingxi Zhao. This market will resolve to 'Lingxi Zhao' if Lingxi Zhao advances against Jiaqi Gu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing promotions or biases, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s lifecycle, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the result of the Maanshan tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the match’s potential result. The market’s depth, indicated by trading volume, also plays a role in price stability and accuracy.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Jiaqi Gu and Lingxi Zhao, as determined by the tournament organizers and reported by recognized sports news sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring news sources and social media for relevant updates is key to understanding potential catalysts that might impact the Maanshan tennis match market.