TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiaqi Gu and Cheng Lu in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Gu' if Jiaqi Gu advances against Cheng Lu. This market will resolve to 'Cheng Lu' if Cheng Lu advances against Jiaqi Gu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiaqi Gu and Cheng Lu in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Gu' if Jiaqi Gu advances against Cheng Lu. This market will resolve to 'Cheng Lu' if Cheng Lu advances against Jiaqi Gu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and shifting sentiment regarding the Maanshan tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maanshan tennis match between Jiaqi Gu and Cheng Lu, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price movements. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role in shaping market expectations.