TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Arkhip Kozlov and Zichen Shao in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arkhip Kozlov' if Arkhip Kozlov advances against Zichen Shao. This market will resolve to 'Zichen Shao' if Zichen Shao advances against Arkhip Kozlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arkhip Kozlov and Zichen Shao in the M15 Maanshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arkhip Kozlov' if Arkhip Kozlov advances against Zichen Shao. This market will resolve to 'Zichen Shao' if Zichen Shao advances against Arkhip Kozlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This creates a dynamic and potentially more accurate forecast than static odds offered elsewhere, as the market continuously incorporates new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Maanshan match between Arkhip Kozlov and Zichen Shao. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders should monitor official announcements and results to understand how this market will ultimately be settled.
Several signals could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Kozlov or Shao would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also shift perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, broader trends in the sport or even weather conditions on the day of the match could introduce new information and cause the market to react. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential price movements.