TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Sickenberger and Raul Garcia in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Sickenberger' if Tom Sickenberger advances against Raul Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Raul Garcia' if Raul Garcia advances against Tom Sickenberger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Sickenberger and Raul Garcia in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Sickenberger' if Tom Sickenberger advances against Raul Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Raul Garcia' if Raul Garcia advances against Tom Sickenberger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by supply and demand among traders. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those on Polymarket, it could indicate differing opinions about the likely outcome of the fight, or differing assessments of the fighters' chances. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow for more nuanced trading than simple win/loss bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sickenberger vs Garcia fight. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the fight, as determined by the relevant boxing authorities. The fighter who is declared the winner of the Sickenberger vs Garcia fight will be the winning outcome in this market. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, or decision by judges, will determine the resolution of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 20, 2026. News regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also cause shifts in this market. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the fight could lead to changes in the odds on Polymarket as traders adjust their predictions.