TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Sickenberger and Pedja Krstin in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Sickenberger' if Tom Sickenberger advances against Pedja Krstin. This market will resolve to 'Pedja Krstin' if Pedja Krstin advances against Tom Sickenberger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Sickenberger and Pedja Krstin in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Sickenberger' if Tom Sickenberger advances against Pedja Krstin. This market will resolve to 'Pedja Krstin' if Pedja Krstin advances against Tom Sickenberger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective view of the market participants. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price becomes, signaling increased confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tom Sickenberger vs Pedja Krstin match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will then verify this information and settle the market accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the basis for resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could also impact market sentiment. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as a key player gaining an early advantage, would likely cause rapid price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade effectively in this market.