TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Garcia and Pablo Martinez Gomez in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Garcia' if Raul Garcia advances against Pablo Martinez Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Martinez Gomez' if Pablo Martinez Gomez advances against Raul Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Garcia and Pablo Martinez Gomez in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Garcia' if Raul Garcia advances against Pablo Martinez Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Martinez Gomez' if Pablo Martinez Gomez advances against Raul Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the most likely outcome. Early on, sportsbooks may have an edge due to specialized knowledge, but as more information becomes available and more traders participate, the prediction market odds can become more accurate. It’s common to see this market converge toward what many consider the ‘true’ probability of an event, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting options.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant boxing authorities following the Garcia vs Martinez boxing match. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the result and settle the market accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable process for all traders.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 21, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or any controversies leading up to the match are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Public opinion shifts, as reflected in boxing analysts’ predictions, could also play a role, though the market’s price is ultimately determined by trading activity. Any significant development impacting the perceived likelihood of either fighter winning will likely be reflected in the market.