TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Garcia and Kabeer Kapasi in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Garcia' if Raul Garcia advances against Kabeer Kapasi. This market will resolve to 'Kabeer Kapasi' if Kabeer Kapasi advances against Raul Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Garcia and Kabeer Kapasi in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Garcia' if Raul Garcia advances against Kabeer Kapasi. This market will resolve to 'Kabeer Kapasi' if Kabeer Kapasi advances against Raul Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in an outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the potential winner of the Garcia vs Kapasi match. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Raul Garcia versus Kabeer Kapasi match, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this contest. The resolution process aims to be swift and definitive, providing clarity for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could all have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also cause fluctuations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, especially as the event draws nearer. Any new information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move the market, creating opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on changing conditions.