TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 5:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pepijn Bastiaansen and Jack Anthrop in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pepijn Bastiaansen' if Pepijn Bastiaansen advances against Jack Anthrop. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Pepijn Bastiaansen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pepijn Bastiaansen and Jack Anthrop in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pepijn Bastiaansen' if Pepijn Bastiaansen advances against Jack Anthrop. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Pepijn Bastiaansen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade their view. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early on, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks may not immediately consider. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket tend to converge with those found at major sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the event's result. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bastiaansen vs Anthrop match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Pepijn Bastiaansen or Jack Anthrop could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as changes to the court surface or weather forecasts, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors or shifts in broader market trends related to similar matches could impact the odds on Polymarket.