TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Zamora and Pablo Martinez Gomez in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:02PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Zamora' if Noah Zamora advances against Pablo Martinez Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Martinez Gomez' if Pablo Martinez Gomez advances against Noah Zamora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Zamora and Pablo Martinez Gomez in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:02PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Zamora' if Noah Zamora advances against Pablo Martinez Gomez. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Martinez Gomez' if Pablo Martinez Gomez advances against Noah Zamora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s life cycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis from a wider range of sources than sportsbooks. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, dynamically adjusting as new information becomes available. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system based on real-time demand.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Zamora vs Martinez match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match location or conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, broader trends in boxing or public perception of each fighter’s chances could impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.