TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicholas Sprenger Sampaio and Jack Loutit in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicholas Sprenger Sampaio' if Nicholas Sprenger Sampaio advances against Jack Loutit. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loutit' if Jack Loutit advances against Nicholas Sprenger Sampaio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicholas Sprenger Sampaio and Jack Loutit in the M15 Lexington, KY, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicholas Sprenger Sampaio' if Nicholas Sprenger Sampaio advances against Jack Loutit. This market will resolve to 'Jack Loutit' if Jack Loutit advances against Nicholas Sprenger Sampaio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sprenger Sampaio vs Loutit match as reported by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts could also impact trading activity. Additionally, significant betting volume on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, reflecting evolving expectations for the Sprenger Sampaio vs Loutit match.