TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxwell Exsted and Jack Anthrop in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Exsted' if Maxwell Exsted advances against Jack Anthrop. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Maxwell Exsted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maxwell Exsted and Jack Anthrop in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Exsted' if Maxwell Exsted advances against Jack Anthrop. This market will resolve to 'Jack Anthrop' if Jack Anthrop advances against Maxwell Exsted. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one fighter, but this market shows a more even split, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through different mechanisms and may respond to different information. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular fighter, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, reflecting the collective forecast of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each fighter winning the Exsted vs Anthrop fight.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Oct 21, 2026, following the completion of the Exsted vs Anthrop fight. The outcome will be determined by the official result announced by the relevant boxing authorities. The winner of the fight, as verified against credible public reporting, will determine the winning share in this market. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, or decision by judges, will be used to settle the market. The resolution process aims to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 21, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also impact the market. Furthermore, any analysis from boxing experts or changes in public perception of each fighter’s chances could lead to price movements. Significant changes in the perceived form of either Maxwell Exsted or Jack Anthrop are likely to be reflected in the trading activity and, therefore, the odds within this market.