TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 12:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Rankin and Pepijn Bastiaansen in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Rankin' if Matthew Rankin advances against Pepijn Bastiaansen. This market will resolve to 'Pepijn Bastiaansen' if Pepijn Bastiaansen advances against Matthew Rankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Rankin and Pepijn Bastiaansen in the M15 Lexington, KY, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Rankin' if Matthew Rankin advances against Pepijn Bastiaansen. This market will resolve to 'Pepijn Bastiaansen' if Pepijn Bastiaansen advances against Matthew Rankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Rankin vs Bastiaansen match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, meaning it can move rapidly based on new information or changes in trader sentiment surrounding the Rankin vs Bastiaansen match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Matthew Rankin vs Pepijn Bastiaansen match as reported by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official channels for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of any potential delays or clarifications.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tennis events might impact overall confidence in player performance. Monitoring tennis news sources and social media for updates on both Matthew Rankin and Pepijn Bastiaansen will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.